Jacopo Berrettini vs Giovanni Fonio Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

As we analyze the upcoming tennis match between Giovanni Fonio and Matteo Berrettini, it is pertinent to examine their recent second serve performance. In the past six months, Fonio has excelled by securing 45.76% of points on his second serve, whereas Berrettini trails behind with a 40.4% success rate. This aspect of play often correlates highly with match prediction accuracy and could be a decisive factor.

Considering return game statistics, Fonio has claimed 43.07% of points on his opponent's second serve recently, while Berrettini surpasses him with 52.05%. Tying in the first serve return points, their figures are closely matched, with Fonio at 27.23% and Berrettini at 27.89%. These numbers help determine the favorite when comparing head-to-head matchups.

In examining under-pressure scenarios, we see that Fonio has saved 57.22% of breakpoints in recent times, while Berrettini has managed a slightly lower 49.31%, a useful gauge for in-game betting decisions.

Over the past year, Fonio has succeeded in 56.06% of his matches, holding a win-loss record of 37-29, whereas Berrettini stands at a close 57.14% (W/L 32-24). The slight margin favors Berrettini overall in their head-to-head prediction overview.

Analysing their performances on different surfaces, Fonio exhibits his strongest career stats on Hard courts, with a win rate of 61%, contrasted with a 50% win percentage on Grass. On the contrary, Berrettini has shown his greatest aptitude on Clay, achieving a 55% win ratio; however, he struggles on Indoor hard courts with no wins in eight matches.

Both players have operated predominantly within the Challengers/ITF tournaments with stakes over $10K. Fonio has a slight edge, winning 54.9% of those matches compared to Berrettini's 53.33%. The event level at which they have played is crucial when assessing their relative prowess.

The record in direct head-to-head encounters reveals that Fonio leads, having won their sole clash at the Perugia Challenger in 2024, 6-1, 7-6(4). Historical head-to-head matches average 1 hour 48 minutes, highlighting the potential for lengthy contests. Interestingly, deciding sets haven't factored into their meetings, presenting an untouched area of comparison.

Examining tiebreaks, Fonio clinched their lone tiebreak against Berrettini, adding a layer of confidence for high-pressure moments. In broader deciding set performance, Berrettini has the slight advantage, winning 67% over the last year compared to Fonio's 53%.

When evaluating competitor quality, Fonio faced adversaries with an average ranking of 340.89, whereas Berrettini encountered slightly better-ranked opponents averaging 326.3, highlighting his marginally tougher competition.

In closing prediction, after careful consideration of serve efficiency, return metrics, surface preferences, and head-to-head history, Fonio holds a marginal edge. Nevertheless, Berrettini's consistency and better breakpoint conversion suggest he could seize the victory if he capitalizes on opportunities. Therefore, based on statistical analysis, Berrettini may edge out Fonio in this closely contested future clash.